At the start of each month, the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) produces a 3 month significant wildland fire potential and weather outlook for the entire country. The Wildland Fire Potential map shows a national picture of the expected trend for fire activity and growth based on previous fire history and current weather predictions. This information is used by Fire Managers to determine staffing levels, anticipate large fire growth, and prepare for the need for pre-positioning out of area resources.
Based on the current forecasts from NIFC and the drought conditions, October will likely bring above normal potential for wildland fires in California. This time of year also brings the potential for Santa Ana wind events over Southern California. Much of the nation will see normal to below normal fire potential, due in part to the significant rains that have impacted much of the country in the last week.
To see the NIFC Significant Fire Potential predictions for the months of November and December, click the link below.
http://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/monthly_seasonal_outlook.pdf
